OpenAI
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OpenAI is making a play to be the Windows of AI: the all-encompassing platform that controls both hardware supplier and software developers.
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Sora is going viral, suggesting there is a big opportunity in unlocking creativity. If that’s true, that’s good for humanity — and bad for Meta.
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OpenAI’s developer keynote was exciting, both because AI was exciting, and because OpenAI has the potential to be a meaningful consumer tech company.
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Agents Over Bubbles
Agents are fundamentally changing the shape of demand for compute, both in terms of how they work and in terms of who will use them. They’re so compelling that I no longer believe we’re in a bubble.
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Copilot Cowork, Anthropic’s Integration, Microsoft’s New Bundle
Microsoft is seeking to commoditize its complements, but Anthropic has a point of integration of their own; it’s good enough that Microsoft is making a new bundle on top of it.
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Anthropic’s Skyrocketing Revenue, A Contract Compromise?, Nvidia Earnings
Anthropic’s enterprise business is reaching escape velocity, which increases the importance of finding a compromise with the government. Then, agents dramatically increase demand for Nvidia chips, even if they threaten software.
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Shopify Earnings, Shopify’s AI Advantages
Shopify is poised to be one of the biggest winners from AI; it would behoove investors to actually understand the businesses they are selling.
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Microsoft and Software Survival
Microsoft got hammered on Wall Street for capacity allocation decisions that were the right ones: the software that wins will use AI to usurp other software.
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Ads in ChatGPT, Why OpenAI Needs Ads, The Long Road to Instagram
OpenAI finally announced that ads are coming to ChatGPT. It’s an important step, but one with far more risk given the delay — and the delay means the ads aren’t yet the right ones.
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Apple and Gemini, Foundation vs. Aggregation, Universal Commerce Protocol
The deal to put Gemini at the heart of Siri is official, and it makes sense for both sides; then Google runs its classic playbook with Universal Commerce Protocol.