AI Chips
GPUs and other AI Chips
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Google Cloud Next 2024 was Google’s most impressive assertion yet that it has the AI scale advantage and is determined to use it.
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Nvidia’s GTC was an absolute spectacle; it was also a different kind of keynote than before ChatGPT, which is related to Nvidia’s need to dig a new kind of software moat.
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Moore’s Law is not yet dead, nor is Moore’s Precept, even if AI computes differently. Addressing both is the key to succeeding with the China chip ban.
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Trump Allows H200 Sales to China, The Sliding Scale, A Good Decision
The Trump administration has effectively unwound the Biden era chip controls by selling the H200 to China; I agree with the decision, which is a return to longstanding U.S. policy.
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AWS re:Invent, Agents for AWS, Nova Forge
AWS re:Invent sought to present AI solutions in the spirit of AWS’ original impact on startups; the real targets may be the startups from that era, not the current one.
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Google, Nvidia, and OpenAI
OpenAI and Nvidia are both under threat from Google; I like OpenAI’s chances best, but they need an advertising model to beat Google as an Aggregator.
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Nvidia Earnings; Power, Scarcity, and Marginal Costs; OpenAI Hand-wringing
Nvidia earnings are the wrong place to look for evidence of an AI bubble; the company’s margins should be safe if power is the limiting factor.
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Gemini 3, Winners and Losers, Integration and the Enterprise
Gemini 3 is out, and looks to be state of the art. What does that mean for everyone else in the AI space, and what markets might Google win?
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Microsoft Earnings, CoreAI/MantleAI, Additional Notes
Microsoft declares independence from OpenAI and sketches out its future role building scaffolding for AI. Plus, Windows is tiny now.
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Nvidia GTC in DC, Qualcomm’s AI Chip, OpenAI’s Restructuring
Nvidia makes its pitch to DC to preserve its CUDA moat, which also explains the challenges facing Qualcomm’s new chip. Then, OpenAI’s restructuring and Microsoft’s collar trade.
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TSMC Earnings, The TSMC Brake, Intel Earnings
TSMC’s earnings reinforce the possibility that TSMC’s willingness to invest is real governor on the AI bubble. Intel needs to provide some competition.