Incentives
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ChatGPT 5, Product Trade-Offs, Personality and Model Upgrades
GPT-5 seems fine; the more interesting questions are about the ChatGPT product and OpenAI’s tradeoffs.
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ESPN + NFL, NFL Strategy, Additional Disney Notes
The NFL is taking equity in ESPN. It’s a great deal for Disney, driven by the NFL’s long-term concern about tech dominance.
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Paradigm Shifts and the Winner’s Curse
When paradigms change, previous winners have the hardest time adjusting; that is why AI might be a challenge for Apple and Amazon
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Figma S-1, The Figma OS, Figma’s AI Potential
Figma is well-placed to succeed in an AI world, because they are an operating system. However, they need to move quickly to capitalize, and that explains why they are going public.
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Tesla and Samsung, Customer Service and Intel, The U.S. Semi Supply Chain
Tesla is making future chips with Samsung, likely cementing the Korean company as the industry’s second supplier.
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TSMC Earnings; A16 and TSMC’s Approach to Backside Power; Intel Earnings, Architecture, and AI
TSMC and Intel’s approach to backside power are downstream of their cultures: customer-centric versus self-serving. It may doom the latter.
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Google and Windsurf, Stinky Deals, Chesterton’s Fence and the Silicon Valley Ecosystem
Windsurf’s founders and IP are going to Google in the latest stinky deal that is downstream of regulator’s recklessly messing the startup ecosystem.