Concepts

The Post-War Order

The Internet is fundamentally challenging the post-war order.

  • The IT Era and the Internet Revolution

    The history of technology is of two distinct eras: information technology enhanced existing business. The Internet revolution is destroying them.


  • The Sports Linchpin

    Ratings are down for the Olympics, which could be bad news not only for TV but industries everywhere.


  • Dollar Shave Club and the Disruption of Everything

    Dollar Shave Club is a textbook example of how the new Internet economy will destroy value in incumbent industries.


  • The Brexit Possibility

    Brexit’s downsides are clear; might tech help realize upsides in building something new based on a new world order?


  • TV Advertising’s Surprising Strength — And Inevitable Fall

    TV advertising is having a good week at the upfronts, and it may be more resilient than expected. That, though, means the crash will be even more abrupt.


  • Doubting the iPhone Revisited, What Has Changed, On Being Bearish

    Today I revisit last year’s piece Stop Doubting the iPhone and why I may have been wrong. What data and assumptions have changed, and why?


  • Everything as a Service

    We have likely reached Peak iPhone, and if not, it’s only a matter of time; physical goods can only scale so far. The future, thanks to the Internet, is everything-as-a-service