Chips
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Moore’s Law is not yet dead, nor is Moore’s Precept, even if AI computes differently. Addressing both is the key to succeeding with the China chip ban.
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Understanding the path the semiconductor industry took to today both shows where China needs to go and also explains why the risks for geopolitical conflict are higher than ever.
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TSMC showed the power of modularization, and now they are core to the U.S. national security strategy.
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Google Buys Compute From SpaceX, Broadcom’s Outlook, Apple’s AI Politics
Google’s deal with SpaceX, and Broadcom’s earnings, both seem bullish for Nvidia. Then, what I’m looking for at WWDC.
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The Nvidia AI PC, Project Solara, Microsoft AI
The Nvidia AI PC feels like a relic of another AI era; Microsoft’s vision for devices at Build was much more compelling.
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The SpaceX IPO and Data Centers in Space
There isn’t a financial model that justifies the SpaceX IPO, but data centers in space are plausible, and that might be enough.
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Nvidia Earnings, The AI Stack, Nvidia’s New Reporting
Nvidia is changing its reporting to delineate between hyperscaler sales — where Nvidia is fighting commoditization — and everyone else, where Nvidia runs the whole stack.
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The Deployment Company, Back to the 70s, Apple and Intel
OpenAI is forming a new company to deploy AI, and the other labs aren’t far behind, reinforcing the thesis that AI’s impact will require top-down implementation. Then, Apple has economic reasons to work with Intel.
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SpaceX and Anthropic, xAI’s Two Companies, Elon Musk and SpaceXAI’s Future
The Anthropic xAI deal is shocking but not surprising: Musk should double down on serving other companies.
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The Inference Shift
Agentic inference is going to be different than the inference we use today, and it will change compute infrastructure because speed won’t matter when humans aren’t involved.
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Microsoft Earnings, Apple Earnings
Microsoft unveils its new agentic business model, and Apple confronts shortages in memory and chips even as the Mac benefits from AI.