China
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If there is a new tech cold war, it is one with shots fired over a decade ago, largely by China. The questions going forward are about both leverage and values.
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Trump Allows H200 Sales to China, The Sliding Scale, A Good Decision
The Trump administration has effectively unwound the Biden era chip controls by selling the H200 to China; I agree with the decision, which is a return to longstanding U.S. policy.
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Nvidia GTC in DC, Qualcomm’s AI Chip, OpenAI’s Restructuring
Nvidia makes its pitch to DC to preserve its CUDA moat, which also explains the challenges facing Qualcomm’s new chip. Then, OpenAI’s restructuring and Microsoft’s collar trade.
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An Interview with Gracelin Baskaran About Rare Earths
An interview with Dr. Gracelin Baskaran about rare earths: how did the U.S. become dependent on China, and how do we fix the problem going forward?
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China and Rare Earth Metals, Chips and Rare Earths, The U.S.’s Self-Inflicted Challenge
China is instituting controls on rare earths, which are essential for technology, that look like chip controls; we can fix the problem by building, but we might not be able to.
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An Interview with Dan Kim About Intel, Nvidia, and the U.S. Government
An interview with Dan Kim about the CHIPS program, why the U.S. took a stake in Intel, and the fraught dispute about Nvidia and China.
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Nvidia Earnings, Moats and China, Nvidia vs. the AI Labs
Nvidia’s earning continue to be governed by supply — and reasoning models make that even more the case. Plus, why Nvidia is so desperate to get back into China.
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U.S. Intel
The U.S. taking an equity stake in Intel is a terrible idea; it also happens to be the least bad idea to make Intel Foundry viable.
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China AI Chips, A China Chip Control Framework, Whither HBM
President’s Trump plan for the U.S. to get paid by Nvidia and AMD for China exports is dubious, but overall policy is headed in the right direction.