ChatGPT
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Deep Research is an AGI product for certain narrow domains; it’s ability to find anything on the Internet will make secret knowledge all the more valuable.
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OpenAI’s developer keynote was exciting, both because AI was exciting, and because OpenAI has the potential to be a meaningful consumer tech company.
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It’s possible that large language models are more like the human brain than we thought, given that it is about prediction; that is why ChatGPT needs its own computer in the form of plug-ins.
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Microsoft and Software Survival
Microsoft got hammered on Wall Street for capacity allocation decisions that were the right ones: the software that wins will use AI to usurp other software.
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Ads in ChatGPT, Why OpenAI Needs Ads, The Long Road to Instagram
OpenAI finally announced that ads are coming to ChatGPT. It’s an important step, but one with far more risk given the delay — and the delay means the ads aren’t yet the right ones.
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ChatGPT Image 1.5; Apple v. Epic, Continued; Holiday Schedule
ChatGPT Image 1.5 launched, and while it seems comparable to Gemini’s Nano Banana Pro, the product around it shows OpenAI’s advantages. Then, Apple v. Epic rolls on.
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Disney and OpenAI, Totems in an AI World, Google Versus the World
Disney made a deal with OpenAI, which both speaks to the durability of Disney’s assets and to OpenAI’s competition with Google.
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OpenAI Code Red, AWS and Google Cloud Networking
OpenAI is declaring code red and doubling down on ChatGPT, highlighting the company’s bear case. Then, AWS makes it easier to run AI workloads on other clouds.
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Google, Nvidia, and OpenAI
OpenAI and Nvidia are both under threat from Google; I like OpenAI’s chances best, but they need an advertising model to beat Google as an Aggregator.
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Nvidia Earnings; Power, Scarcity, and Marginal Costs; OpenAI Hand-wringing
Nvidia earnings are the wrong place to look for evidence of an AI bubble; the company’s margins should be safe if power is the limiting factor.