Earnings
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Intel Earnings, The Agentic Opportunity, Intel’s Mistaken Pessimism
Intel’s earnings were disappointing because the company is missing a huge opportunity by virtue of selling off its capacity.
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TSMC Earnings, The TSMC Brake Revisited, Why AI Needs Foundry Competition
TSMC admitted that it has invested too little in the face of overwhelming demand for AI; that’s why the industry needs to facilitate competition for the foundry leader.
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Nvidia Earnings; Power, Scarcity, and Marginal Costs; OpenAI Hand-wringing
Nvidia earnings are the wrong place to look for evidence of an AI bubble; the company’s margins should be safe if power is the limiting factor.
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Microsoft Earnings, CoreAI/MantleAI, Additional Notes
Microsoft declares independence from OpenAI and sketches out its future role building scaffolding for AI. Plus, Windows is tiny now.
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Apple Earnings, Siri White-Labels Gemini, Short-Term Gains and Long-Term Risk
Apple is already benefitting from AI via the App Store. Meanwhile, Siri will white-label Gemini; the long-term implications are significant.
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Amazon Earnings, AWS and OpenAI, Did Amazon Solve Groceries?
Amazon says the constraint right now is power, not chips; it’s giving plenty of the latter to OpenAI. Then, Amazon solves groceries by getting faster tat delivering everything else.
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TSMC Earnings, The TSMC Brake, Intel Earnings
TSMC’s earnings reinforce the possibility that TSMC’s willingness to invest is real governor on the AI bubble. Intel needs to provide some competition.
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Netflix Earnings, KPop Demon Hunters and Netflix Hit Production
Netflix’s growth will depend on advertising; then, more evidence that Netflix was uniquely responsible for KPop Demon Hunters’ success.
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Nvidia Earnings, Moats and China, Nvidia vs. the AI Labs
Nvidia’s earning continue to be governed by supply — and reasoning models make that even more the case. Plus, why Nvidia is so desperate to get back into China.