Networks
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The Twitter Whistleblower, mDAUs and Bots, Musk’s Akorn Lifeline
A Twitter’s whistleblowers report is very believable in terms of Twitter’s violation of its FTC consent decree; that may matter more to Elon Musk than the discussion about bots.
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An Interview With Eric Seufert About the Future of Digital Advertising
An interview with Eric Seufert about Apple’s big overhaul of SKAdNetwork, speculating about a possible Apple Ad Network, and why we’re both optimistic about Meta’s outlook. In addition, we discuss Snap’s disastrous year, and the Unity-ironSource-AppLovin acquisition drama.
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Three Trends Follow-Up, The Question of “Cool”, TikTok and the Sinicization of the Internet
Follow-up on Instagram, TikTok, and the Three Trends, including questioning the “cool” thesis of social networks, and why China’s Internet vision is winning.
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Instagram, TikTok, and the Three Trends
Trends in medium, AI, and user interaction underpin Instagram’s response to TikTok, and will determine Meta’s long-term moat.
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Apple and Facebook’s Pre-ATT Negotiations, Timing and Documentation, ATT’s Impact
The Wall Street Journal fills in important details about the run-up to ATT, including negotiations between Apple and Facebook. Then, ATT denials don’t hold water.
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Meta Earnings, Reasons for Optimism, Meta Changes
Meta’s earnings, reason for optimism, and the company’s changing moats
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Snap Earnings, Instagram Versus the Kardashians
Snap’s earnings were bad on the surface, and worse in the details; there may, though, be some good news for Meta, both in terms of advertising and also the evolution of Instagram.
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The Uber Files, Musk Tries to Dump Twitter, Musk and the Hero Paradox
Uber raises philosophical questions about ends versus means; Elon Musk’s actions with Twitter raise similar questions.
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Zero-COVID and Free Speech
Zero-COVID is possible, but few of us in the West are willing to pay the costs; the exact same reasoning applies to free speech; in both cases China-lite is the worst possible strategy.
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Snap Revenue Warning, Snap’s Direct Response Bifurcation, Broader Takeaways
Snap’s revenue warning, and a closer examination of past earnings, point to a business that is much more driven by brand advertising than it is by direct response
