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OpenAI and Nvidia are both under threat from Google; I like OpenAI’s chances best, but they need an advertising model to beat Google as an Aggregator.
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Google Cloud Next 2024 was Google’s most impressive assertion yet that it has the AI scale advantage and is determined to use it.
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Google could do more than just win the chatbot war: it is the one company that could make a universal assistant. The question is if the company is willing to risk it all.
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Google, the real Aggregator, is squeezing OTAs, which acted like Aggregators while depending on Google for demand. It’s easy to say Google is being unfair, but this may be better for consumers.
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Google is unique in that their business was built on being the best. The company, though, benefited from the open web. That is not the case in mobile.
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Google is at its best when its product focus follows its business model; for too long Android was a detour.
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Netflix and the Hollywood End Game
Netflix is driving the Hollywood end game, likely confident it can increase the value of IP, and fend off YouTube.
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OpenAI Code Red, AWS and Google Cloud Networking
OpenAI is declaring code red and doubling down on ChatGPT, highlighting the company’s bear case. Then, AWS makes it easier to run AI workloads on other clouds.
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Google, Nvidia, and OpenAI
OpenAI and Nvidia are both under threat from Google; I like OpenAI’s chances best, but they need an advertising model to beat Google as an Aggregator.
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Nvidia Earnings; Power, Scarcity, and Marginal Costs; OpenAI Hand-wringing
Nvidia earnings are the wrong place to look for evidence of an AI bubble; the company’s margins should be safe if power is the limiting factor.
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Gemini 3, Winners and Losers, Integration and the Enterprise
Gemini 3 is out, and looks to be state of the art. What does that mean for everyone else in the AI space, and what markets might Google win?
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Robotaxis and Suburbia
Robotaxis are poised to further close the delta between suburbs and the city; the city (and Uber) might never recover.
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Apple Earnings, Siri White-Labels Gemini, Short-Term Gains and Long-Term Risk
Apple is already benefitting from AI via the App Store. Meanwhile, Siri will white-label Gemini; the long-term implications are significant.